Wednesday, July 17, 2019

50 Reasons to be Excited for 2019 NFL Season

 

The season opens on Thursday September 5 with the Bears vs Packers, for the 199th meeting all-time. It’s one of the oldest rivalries in football and the league felt this was a great way to kick off their 100th season celebration, as opposed to the usual tradition of having the defending Super Bowl champs kick off the season.

To celebrate 50 days till kick off, here are 50 reasons to be excited for the start of the 2019 NFL season.

1. For starters, the world is a better place during football season. Fans can sit at home or sit in a bar for 8 hours on Sundays and track their fantasy teams, bets, and favorite teams. Football is awesome.

Vulnerable teams at the top?

2. Could the Patriots run finally end? No, obviously it will not, but it’s fun to pretend like there is a chance. TE Rob Gronkowski retired and DE Trey Flowers and LT Trent Brown left via free agency, so maybe their respective replacements will struggle and provide hope for another AFC team. Or most likely, this team won’t miss a beat in their pursuit for #7. But there is certainly excitement in watching teams try.

3. Is a Super Bowl hangover possible for the Rams? They are young and hungry enough to get back after their disappointing loss to the Patriots. But past Super Bowl losers have looked the same way as the Rams and failed. There are major question marks about Todd Gurley and his knee and after the wear and tear this team went through a year ago, are they up to it again?

Runner ups are back for more

4. Patrick Mahomes is only 24 years old. In his second NFL season, and first as a full-time starter, Mahomes threw 50 touchdown passes and won MVP. He won’t have Kareem Hunt and may be without Tyreek Hill for part of the season, but the Chiefs have surrounded Mahomes with enough offensive talent and done enough tinkering to their defense to help Mahomes avoid a sophomore slump and help get the Chiefs to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1969.

5. The Saints might just score 100 points a game in their 2019 revenge tour, to prove a point after the controversial loss in the NFC Championship game. Even at nearly 40 years old, Drew Brees is at the top of his game (much more on him below), with WR Michael Thomas and RB Alvin Kamara among the best at their respective positions. As long as the defense keeps pace, they will be in a position to make another deep playoff run.

New head coaches

6. Bengals have the longest playoff win drought in the NFL – it’s been 28 years! Marvin Lewis coached in Cincinnati for 16 years, going 0-7 in playoff games. Following the 2018 season, the team finally moved on, replacing him with Rams Offensive Coordinator, Zac Taylor. Taylor should bring an exciting offense with him and help rejuvenate the franchise and fan-base.

7. Kliff Kingsbury brings his air raid offense from college to the pros, replacing Steve Wilks in Arizona after Wilks coached the Cardinals for just one season. Kingsbury decided to shake up the team immediately by replacing 2018 first round pick Josh Rosen, with 2019 #1 overall pick Kyler Murray. Watching these two go to work, with a healthy David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, and a young group of WRs, will be must see Red Zone TV action.

8. Bruce Arians is back! That’s good news for fans of offensive football (not the type of offensive football the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have played the last couple of years). Arians offensive system should do wonders for Jameis Winston and Mike Evans. And who knows, maybe they’ll even try running the ball in 2019.

9. No Hue Jackson in Cleveland is good news for Browns fans and players, but probably bad news for anyone who likes to mock the Browns. Seriously though, Freddie Kitchens steps in as the new head coach, after going 5-3 as the interim in 2018. Browns made strong hires at both coordinator positions too, bringing on Todd Monken to run offense and Steve Wilks on defense. Browns made a lot of key moves this off-season and for the first time in decades have real expectations entering the season.

10. How will Aaron Rodgers get along with new coach Matt LaFleur? There were many stories that came out last winter about Rodgers and his relationship with former coach Mike McCarthy. LaFleur is 39 years old, only a couple years older than the Packers franchise QB and has only been an NFL assistant coach since 2015. It will be fun to see what innovative principles he brings to an offense with Rodgers, Davante Adams, Aaron Jones and a handful of other young, hungry weapons.

11. Adam Gase takes over Jets after being fired by Dolphins, who replaced him with Patriots Defensive Coordinator Brian Flores. Gase went 23-26 in three seasons with the Dolphins and will look to turnaround a Jets team that has not made the playoffs since 2010. Dolphins potentially have a bottom five roster in the NFL, so year one for Flores could be challenging.

12. The Vance Joseph era in Denver was a huge disaster. Broncos are moving forward with an older, veteran coach Vic Fangio, a longtime Defensive Coordinator. Fangio’s experience and leadership will help but this team will only go as far as the offense lets it go.

Swan songs

13. In the NFL, careers end in the blink of an eye and some end as expected. These players might play their final game in 2019 – Eli Manning, Adrian Peterson, Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Olsen, Sean Lee, Jason Witten, Antonio Gates, Jason Peters, Andrew Whitworth, Frank Gore, Terrell Suggs, Adam Vinatieri. And maybe Tom Brady??

14. How about swan songs for coaches? Could this be the last season for Jason Garrett, Mike Tomlin, Doug Marrone, Bill O’Brien, Pat Shurmur, Jay Gruden, Matt Patricia, Ron Rivera, Kyle Shanahan?

15. The Raiders will officially move to Las Vegas in time for the 2020 season. 2019 will be the last chance for Oakland fans to dress up and support their team at the Coliseum.

Return from injury

16. It will be great to see these guys back on the field, fully healthy after missing parts (or all) of the 2018 season – Cam Newton, Carson Wentz, Odell Beckham Jr, Aaron Rodger, Richard Sherman, Jimmy Garappolo, Earl Thomas, Cooper Kupp, Demaryius Thomas, Travis Frederick, Delanie Walker.

Other returns

17. Jason Witten is back! This is good news for all football fans. For Cowboys fans, Witten is a legend who will provide veteran leadership in the locker room and on the field and can become a reliable red zone target for a team that was terrible in 2018 in that part of the field. But more importantly, being in the locker room and on the field means he won’t be in ESPN’s booth, announcing Monday Night Football games. Everyone wins.

18. LeVeon Bell returns after sitting out the 2018 season in a contract holdout. Bell signed a massive free agent deal with the Jets.

Revenge games

19. Bell will get his shot at revenge when the Jets face Bell’s former team the Steelers in Week 16. This game might just have Wild Card implications for one or both teams.

20. In Week 5, Bears’ Khalil Mack gets to line up against the Raiders, the team that traded him for draft picks last August. Mack had 12.5 sacks for the Bears last season.

21. In Week 7, new Ravens safety Earl Thomas faces his former Seahawks teammates – the same Seahawks team that he flipped the middle finger to in 2018 while being carted off the field with a season ending knee injury.

22. After six years in Washington, 2012 4th round pick, Kirk Cousins left the Redskins to sign with the Vikings in 2018. In Week 8, Cousins gets to face his former team for the first time since signing that contract.

23. In 2019, there are 6 games on the schedule that feature rematches from recent Super Bowls (since 2003) – Giants vs Patriots, Eagles vs Patriots, Ravens vs 49ers, Steelers vs Cardinals, Steelers vs Seahawks, and Saints vs Colts

Quarterbacks

24. The last three QBs to win the Heisman Trophy will all have a chance to shine. The 2018 and 2019 #1 overall picks (both Oklahoma Sooners) enter 2019 as the unquestioned starting QBs – Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Kyler Murray for the Cardinals, as does 2018 #32 pick Lamar Jackson.

25. Speaking of Heisman Trophy winning quarterbacks, the pressure is on Bucs’ Jameis Winston and Titans’ Marcus Mariota to perform at a high level. Both players have one year remaining on their current contracts and were not drafted by their current coaching staffs. If they don’t perform at a high level, the Bucs and Titans, respectively, may enter the 2020 QB market.

26. Super Bowl 52 MVP Nick Foles finally gets his shot as a full-time starting QB. Following a disastrous 2018 season, Jacksonville Jaguars finally moved on from former first round pick Blake Bortles and signed Nick Foles to a big contract. We’ll see how Foles performs outside of Philly.

27. The Dolphins also moved on from a former first round pick, Ryan Tannehill, and are holding a competition between Ryan FitzMagic and Josh “Chosen” Rosen. They are one of just two teams (Redskins) to hold a true competition entering training camp. Regardless of who wins this QB battle, Dolphins will likely be in the mix to draft a QB in 2020.

28. Andrew Luck and DeShaun Watson both missed all or most of the 2017 season due to injuries and returned in 2018 with authority, each starting 16 games and guiding the Colts and Texans, respectively, into the playoffs. The AFC South division battle between these two teams and these QBs will be exciting.

29. The 2016 Draft class of QBs continues to improve and all three are in line for huge 2019 seasons. Carson Wentz, fresh off a new contract, should be back healthy and ready to get back to his 2017 MVP form. Jared Goff is looking to bounce back after a disastrous performance in the Super Bowl. And Dak Prescott enters a contract year, having won his first playoff game in 2018 and has led the Cowboys to the NFC East title in two of his three years.

30. Rookie QBs are waiting in the wings. Among the 2019 QB class, only Kyler Murray is guaranteed to start Week 1. But Daniel Jones (Giants), Drew Lock (Broncos), Dwayne Haskins (Redskins) could all get their shot at some point throughout 2019.

31. QBs seeking their first playoff win – Matthew Stafford is 0-3, Andy Dalton is 0-4, and four others are 0-1 including Kirk Cousins, Lamar Jackson, Mitchell Trubisky, and Deshaun Watson.

New faces in new places – offensive edition

32. WR Antonio Brown has 6 consecutive seasons with 100+ catches, 1,200+ yards, and 8+ TDs each season. In 2019, he will take his talents to Oakland, catching passes from Derek Carr for John Gruden and the Raiders. Can Brown maintain his previous dominance? Whatever happens just please keep the man off twitter.

33. The NY Giants made the semi-controversial decision to move on from star WR Odell Beckham Jr, trading him to the Browns. Injuries and QB play have plagued Beckham the last couple of seasons but he re-unites with former LSU teammate WR Jarvis Landry and upstart QB Baker Mayfield.

Are Beckham and Landry the best college alumni 1-2 duo of active WRs in the NFL?

34. With a boat load of salary cap space, the Jets signed RB LeVeon Bell and LB CJ Mosley. They later fired the GM who signed those players.

35. The plan for the Ravens was always to build a run-oriented offense around Lamar Jackson. That will be even more true now that they have added former Saint Mark Ingram to their backfield. Ingram should be a big upgrade over guys like Alex Collins and Gus Edwards.

Getting defensive

36. Chiefs lost Dee Ford to the 49ers and Justin Houston to the Colts, but traded their 2019 first round pick to Seattle to acquire Frank Clark, who finished 6th in the league in 2018 wit 14 sacks.

37. 49ers bolstered their defense by adding the aforementioned Dee Ford and signing LB Kwon Alexander along with drafting DL Nick Bosa.

38. The 2019 off-season saw a big safety shuffle – Landon Collins left the Giants to sign with their division rival Redskins, Tyrann Matheiu left the Texans and signed with the Chiefs, replacing long time legend Eric Berry (who is still a free agent). Earl Thomas replaced Eric Weddle in Baltimore and Weddle signed with the LA Rams. Lamarcus Joyner, who was replaced by Weddle in LA, signed with the Raiders. Adrian Amos left the Bears for the Packers and the Bears replaced him with former Packer Ha Ha Clinton-Dix.

39. AFC East added an exciting trio of potentially impactful rookies at Defensive Tackle during the draft – Jets selected Quinnen Williams #3, Bills took Ed Oliver #9, and Dolphins took Christian Wilkins #13.

2019 Playoffs

40. Several 2017 playoff teams look to bounce back after missing the playoffs in 2018 – Steelers, Titans, Falcons, Panthers, plus the Packers

41. There are currently 12 teams have never won the Super Bowl. A new season, brings new optimism. Will 2019 be the year for one of these teams – Vikings, Chargers, Bills, Bengals, Cardinals, Titans, Panthers, Falcons, Texans, Jaguars, Lions, Browns. Those last four have never even made it to the big game.

Milestone Tracker

42. Saints QB Drew Brees has 520 career touchdown passes, 19 behind Peyton Manning’s all-time record of 539.

43. If Brees throws 30 TDs and Patriots QB Tom Brady throws 33, those men would join the 550 passing touchdowns club, where they would be the only two members.

44. One more note on Drew Brees. He needs 387 pass attempts to break Brett Favre’s all-time record of 10,169 passes. For context, in 13 seasons with the Saints, he has thrown over 400 completions 9 times and 2018 was the last time he threw less than 500 passes (489).

45. Ageless wonder Frank Gore, now with the Bills and entering the season a young 36 years of age, needs 521 yards rushing to pass Barry Sanders for third on the all-time rushing yards list (Sanders has 15,269 yards to Gore’s 14,748). Gore would be one of only four players to ever rush for 15k yards.

46. Redskins RB Adrian Peterson needs 4 rushing touchdowns to tie and 5 to pass Walter Payton to move up to #4 on the all-time rushing TDs list (Peterson currently has 106)

47. Only five players have ever caught 120 touchdowns or more (Jerry Rice, Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, Cris Carter, Marvin Harrison). Larry Fitzgerald and Antonio Gates are both 4 touchdowns away from joining the club.

48. Only six players in NFL history have recorded 140 sacks (or more). New Cardinals pass rusher Terrell Suggs needs 7.5 sacks to join a group that includes Bruce Smith, Reggie White, Kevin Greene, Julius Peppers, Chris Doleman, and Michael Strahan.

49. Adam Vinatieri, entering his 24th season, needs 20 field goal attempts to break Morten Anderson’s all-time record of 709 FG attempts.

Bright futures

50. The 2019 season may not be favorable to every team, but for those that struggle, optimism could be around the corner as teams have three options to add a franchise QB in the 2020 Draft. Teams may #tankforTua (Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa), #suckfortheDuck (Oregon QB Justin Herbert), or #failforFromm (Georgia QB Jake Fromm)


The key takeaway is that football is ALMOST back!! There are so many other reasons to be excited, especially about specific teams and players – Cowboys young offensive trio, Bears defense, James Connor, Chargers overall roster, Seahawks rebuilt offense, Adam Thielen/Stefon Diggs duo, Saquon Barkley and so much more.

50 more days until kickoff!!

Sunday, July 14, 2019

Ranking NFL Alma Mater Offensive Trios

 

Using only active NFL players, I take a look at ranking the best offensive trios using college alumni. This list takes the top QB, RB, WR from 32 different colleges.

The Best

The top two schools have veteran Pro Bowl talent at all three positions.

1 Stanford

QB Andrew Luck, RB Christian McCaffery, TE Zach Ertz

Luck returned healthy in 2018, throwing 39 touchdown passes (second most in the league). Christian McCaffery almost joined the 1000/1000 club (1,098 yards rushing, 867 yards receiving). Zach Ertz led all tight ends in catches (116), finished third in yards (1,163 yards), and third in touchdowns (8).

2 Georgia

QB Matthew Stafford, RB Todd Gurley, WR AJ Green

Matthew Stafford has been as reliable as any QB over the past decade, despite the lack of postseason success. Todd Gurley had All-Pro seasons in 2017 and 2018 but does have questions and concerns about his knee moving forward. AJ Green had an injury-shortened 2018 season, but certainly looked like himself when he was in the lineup.

3. Ohio State

QB Dwayne Haskins, RB Ezekiel Elliot, WR Mike Thomas

Hard to rank Ohio State higher than this at this time, but if Redskins rookie Dwayne Haskins lives up to his potential, this team could easily vault to #1 within a year or so as Ezekiel Elliot and Michael Thomas both rank at or near the top of their respective positions.

4. Oklahoma

QB Baker Mayfield, RB Joe Mixon, WR Sterling Shepard

You could go with Sterling Shepard, Kenny Stills, or Dede Westbrook at wide receiver. But whoever your preference is, it’s that position that holds the Sooners back from being even higher.

5. Auburn

QB Cam Newton, RB Kerryon Johnson, TE CJ Uzomah

Kerryon Johnson showed great potential as a rookie, but seemed to be held back by the coaching staff as part of a running back committee. CJ Uzomah stepped up for the Bengals with injuries derailing the guys ahead of him on the depth chart. Cam Newton had a mixed 2018 season, due largely to a shoulder issue.

6. USC

QB Sam Darnold, RB Ronald Jones, WR Juju Smith-Schuster

Sam Darnold exceeded expectations as a rookie and showed he has the potential to be the Jets franchise QB. Juju Smith-Schuster put up monster numbers (111 catches, 1,426 yards, 7 TDs) and has the potential to be even better in 2019 with Antonio Brown gone from the Steelers. Ronald Jones holds USC back from being higher after receiving limited carries behind Peyton Barber on the Bucs last year.

7. North Carolina

QB Mitchell Trubisky, RB Gio Bernard, TE Eric Ebron

Eric Ebron broke out in a huge way with a league leading (for tight ends) 13 touchdown receptions. Mitchell Trubisky helped guide the Bears to the playoffs, though credit is given more to the defense and run game than to Trubisky, who needs to improve in a few areas. Gio Bernard has become a part-time RB behind Joe Mixon, but if given the chance has shown he has potential.

8. California

QB Aaron Rodgers, RB CJ Anderson, Keenan Allen

Cal is a veteran, reliable trio. Jared Goff gets left off this list due to Rodgers’ presence. Marvin Jones and Desean Jackson are other options at WR, but obviously Keenan Allen is among the best at his position. Which CJ Anderson will show up in 2019 – the version from 2017 and the first part of 2018? Or the December/playoffs version that overtook Todd Gurley?


Missing a QB

Six unranked schools who have loaded of RB/WR talent, but nothing above “bad” at QB

Alabama – QB AJ McCarron, RB Mark Ingram, WR Julio Jones

Pittsburgh – QB Nathan Peterman (or Tom Savage), RB Lesean McCoy, WR Larry Fitzgerald

LSU – QB Danny Etling, RB Leonard Fournette, WR Odell Beckham Jr

LSU also has Jarvis Landry. Which school has produced the top active WR duo?

Miami – QB Brad Kaaya, RB Lamar Miller, TE David Njoku

Penn State – QB Trace McSorley, RB Saquon Barkley, WR Allen Robinson

Tennessee – QB Joshua Dobbs, RB Alvin Kamara, TE Jason Witten

Held back by lack of RB

Four schools that have great QB/WR combos, but lack RBs and are therefore unranked

Clemson – QB Deshaun Watson, RB Wayne Gallman, WR DeAndre Hopkins

Ole Miss – QB Eli Manning, RB Jordan Wilkins, WR Mike Wallace

Texas Tech – QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Deandre Washington, WR Michael Crabtree

Texas A&M – QB Ryan Tannehill, Treyveon Williams, Mike Evans

Not enough to make the cut

13 schools with notable trios, but not enough talent to make the rankings

Wisconsin – QB Russell Wilson, RB Melvin Gordon, TE Fumangelli

Michigan State – QB Kirk Cousins, RB Leveon Bell, WR Bennie Fowler

Louisville – QB Lamar Jackson, RB Bilal Powell, WR Devante Parker

Texas – QB Colt McCoy, RB D’onta Foreman, WR Marquise Goodwin

UCF – QB Blake Bortles, RB Latavius Murray, WR Tre’Quan Smith

Oregon – QB Marcus Mariota, RB Royce Freeman, TE Ed Dickson

West Virginia – QB Geno Smith, RB Wendell Smallwood, WR Tavon Austin

Oklahoma State – QB Brandon Weeden, RB Chris Carson, WR James Washington

Notre Dame – QB DeShone Kizer, RB Theo Riddick, WR Will Fuller/Golden Tate

Indiana – QB Nate Sudfeld, RB Jordan Howard/Tevin Coleman, WR Cody Latimer

Arizona State – QB Brock Osweiler, RB Kalen Ballage, WR N’Keal Harry

Louisiana Tech – QB Jeff Driskel, RB Kenneth Dixon, WR Trent Taylor

Central Michigan – QB Cooper Rush, RB Thomas Rawls, WR Antonio Brown

Florida State – QB Jameis Winston, RB Devonta Freeman, WR Kelvin Benjamin (currently out of work)

Noticeably missing – Michigan, Florida

Monday, July 1, 2019

Why the Knicks Have Had A Successful Free Agency

 

The Knicks were supposed to draft Zion Williamson and sign Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving.

The Knicks “struck out” and went 0-3.

Instead, they settled for RJ Barrett, the guy ranked #1 in the 2018 high school class, who averaged 22 ppg in his one year at Duke.

Kyrie Irving “came home”, but signed with Brooklyn instead of New York. Irving snubs the Knicks, after a rough two year run in Boston where he failed to lead them to the NBA Finals and alienated his teammates to the point where fans and players are happy he is gone from Boston.

Kevin Durant left the Warriors dynasty to come to New York but joined Kyrie in Brooklyn. Durant is confirmed to miss the entire 2019-20 season with a ruptured achillies and will return in 2020 with three years left on his contract at age 32 with major questions due to the significance of his injury and the fact that rarely has anyone recovered fully from this operation.

The failure to sign a nut case PG and an injured forward comes months after the Knicks traded the franchise’s most recent All Star Kristaps Porzingis. According to, well everyone, the Knicks traded Porzingis for nothing. But for the first time ever, the Knicks acquired first round picks (and didn’t send them out) and cleared significant cap space. Now, the money was supposed to be earmarked for Kyrie and Durant, but Tim Hardaway Jr, to put it kindly, was not an excellent basketball player. Shedding him from the roster allowed the Knicks the flexibility to move in a different direction.

“Porzingis was traded for nothing”. This is a funny sentiment. Kemba Walker literally left Charlotte for nothing. Boston literally got nothing for Kyrie Irving. But the Knicks did not get nothing. They got a promising young PG Dennis Smith Jr and they added veteran center DeAndre Jordan, who was reportedly an excellent mentor to Mitchell Robinson in the last couple months of the 2019 season. They also added two future first round picks.

A guy who wanted out, who made public comments disparaging the organization, who threatened to not sign his qualifying offer this summer, was traded for literally something. Much has been made about the Knicks culture and dysfunction, so why keep a guy whose causing some of that chaos.

As a Knicks fan, obviously I am disappointed. I woke up every day for months and months dreaming of a world where Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving play at MSG 41 times a year. I’m upset and frustrated but I think it’s a great move for them and wish them well and hope it works out for the Nets. But now what, for the Knicks?

Well, now they invest their cap space into adding good, quality NBA players. That sounds stupid, but if you’ve watched the Knicks or peaked at their roster the last few years, you would know this team lacked good, quality NBA players.

There’s a lot of talk that “Julius Randle won’t sell tickets”. Well, why does he have to? Every Knicks game is sold out. Every game is premium priced on secondary markets. Knicks don’t need someone to help sell out MSG, the Knicks and MSG does that itself. What the Knicks need is good, quality NBA players.

Julius Randle averaged career numbers in 2019 with the Pelicans and PF was by far the Knicks biggest need. They also signed Taj Gibson, Bobby Portis, Wayne Ellington, Reggie Bullock, and Elfrid Payton. Each of these guys was affordable for a reason but they all have their strengths and will all benefit the Knicks one way or another.

This was the right move. No more tanking. The Nets got those free agents because of the winning culture they have developed. The Knicks won 17 games in 2019. Why would any top tier guy sign with a team that won 17 games?

All of the players signed by the Knicks, with the exception of Randle, received a 1+1 contract (guaranteed contract for 2019-20 with team option for 2020). That means Knicks have flexibility to cut everyone and dip into free agency next year, they could trade these guys at trade deadline if they have value, they can trade them next summer as expiring deals, or perhaps they show enough value to stick around. Either way, it’s hard to spin these moves as a loss.

Knicks added a strong low post veteran (Gibson) to help groom Mitchell Robinson. Randle will start at PF and play a lot of minutes. Portis is still young (24 years old) and has flashed a lot of potential at times. Ellington and Bullock are both good three point shooters who can defend. And Elfrid Payton is a serviceable backup PG.

Obviously, the Knicks haven’t moved the needle with these signings. They were a 17 win team in 2019 and might be a 25-30 win team in 2020. But that’s progress. And not doing anything stupid is progress.

And what if, I don’t know, the #1 recruit from 2018, RJ Barrett, proves to be a better pro than Zion Williamson? Is that so crazy? What if Kyrie Irving implodes the Nets locker room, like he did in Boston? What if Kevin Durant is never the same player?

Knicks mockery is always going to be a crowd pleaser and #sayKnicksforclicks has been a huge hit on twitter. But let’s revisit this conversation a few years down the road and see if the last 24 hours weren’t actually a turning point for the franchise and the start of something special as opposed to “the worst moment in franchise history”.